Infratest dimap poll of 21 September 2018 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- ARD-Morgenmagazin
- Fieldwork period
- 17 to 19 Sep 2018
- Respondents
- 1,035
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CDU/CSU28.0%-1.0
- AfD18.0%+2.0
- SPD17.0%-1.0
- Grüne15.0%+1.0
- Linke10.0%±0
- FDP9.0%+1.0
- Others3.0%-2.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 6 Sep 2018.
In this poll Infratest dimap has CDU/CSU ahead on 28.0%, followed by AfD on 18.0%. 1,035 people were surveyed from 17 to 19 Sep 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by ARD-Morgenmagazin.
Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 6 Sep 2018, AfD gains 2.0 points, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has AfD 2.5 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 21 Sep 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +2.5average 15.5
- CDU/CSU -1.4average 29.4
- SPD -1.0average 18.0
- Grüne +0.8average 14.2
- FDP +0.4average 8.6
- Linke +0.3average 9.7
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU182
- AfD117
- SPD111
- Grüne97
- Linke65
- FDP58
- CDU/CSU + AfD + SPD410 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne396 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne390 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke364 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke358 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP357 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP351 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke344 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP337 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne325 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.