Single poll

Infratest dimap poll of 6 September 2018 for the federal election

Commissioned by
ARD-Tagesthemen
Fieldwork period
3 to 5 Sep 2018
Respondents
1,502
Method
Unbekannt
  • CDU/CSU29.0%±0
  • SPD18.0%±0
  • AfD16.0%-1.0
  • Grüne14.0%±0
  • Linke10.0%+1.0
  • FDP8.0%±0
  • Others5.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 24 Aug 2018.

In this poll Infratest dimap has CDU/CSU ahead on 29.0%, followed by SPD on 18.0%. 1,502 people were surveyed from 3 to 5 Sep 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by ARD-Tagesthemen.

Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 24 Aug 2018, AfD loses 1.0 points, Linke gains 1.0 points.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 6 Sep 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU/CSU -0.8average 29.8
  • FDP -0.8average 8.8
  • Linke +0.6average 9.4
  • SPD +0.3average 17.7
  • Grüne +0.2average 13.8
  • AfD ±0average 16.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 193 seatsSPD: 119 seatsAfD: 106 seatsGrüne: 93 seatsLinke: 66 seatsFDP: 53 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU193
  • SPD119
  • AfD106
  • Grüne93
  • Linke66
  • FDP53
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD418 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne405 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne392 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke378 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP365 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke365 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP352 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke352 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP339 of 630
  • SPD + AfD + Grüne318 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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