Single poll

Infratest dimap poll of 24 August 2018 for the federal election

Commissioned by
ARD-Morgenmagazin
Fieldwork period
20 to 22 Aug 2018
Respondents
1,047
Method
Unbekannt
  • CDU/CSU29.0%±0
  • SPD18.0%±0
  • AfD17.0%±0
  • Grüne14.0%-1.0
  • Linke9.0%±0
  • FDP8.0%+1.0
  • Others5.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 2 Aug 2018.

In this poll Infratest dimap has CDU/CSU ahead on 29.0%, followed by SPD on 18.0%. 1,047 people were surveyed from 20 to 22 Aug 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by ARD-Morgenmagazin.

Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 2 Aug 2018, Grüne loses 1.0 points, FDP gains 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has AfD 1.5 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 24 Aug 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • AfD +1.5average 15.5
  • CDU/CSU -1.0average 30.0
  • Linke -1.0average 10.0
  • FDP -1.0average 9.0
  • SPD +0.4average 17.6
  • Grüne +0.2average 13.8
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 192 seatsSPD: 119 seatsAfD: 113 seatsGrüne: 93 seatsLinke: 60 seatsFDP: 53 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU192
  • SPD119
  • AfD113
  • Grüne93
  • Linke60
  • FDP53
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD424 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne404 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne398 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke371 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke365 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP364 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP358 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke345 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP338 of 630
  • SPD + AfD + Grüne325 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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