Single poll

Infratest dimap poll of 2 August 2018 for the federal election

Commissioned by
ARD-Tagesthemen
Fieldwork period
30 Jul 2018 to 1 Aug 2018
Respondents
1,508
Method
Unbekannt
  • CDU/CSU29.0%-1.0
  • SPD18.0%±0
  • AfD17.0%+1.0
  • Grüne15.0%±0
  • Linke9.0%+1.0
  • FDP7.0%-1.0
  • Others5.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 27 Jul 2018.

In this poll Infratest dimap has CDU/CSU ahead on 29.0%, followed by SPD on 18.0%. 1,508 people were surveyed from 30 Jul 2018 to 1 Aug 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by ARD-Tagesthemen.

Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 27 Jul 2018, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points, Linke gains 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has Grüne 2.2 points higher and FDP 1.9 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 2 Aug 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Grüne +2.2average 12.8
  • FDP -1.9average 8.9
  • AfD +1.3average 15.7
  • CDU/CSU -1.2average 30.2
  • Linke -1.1average 10.1
  • SPD ±0average 18.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 192 seatsSPD: 119 seatsAfD: 113 seatsGrüne: 100 seatsLinke: 60 seatsFDP: 46 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU192
  • SPD119
  • AfD113
  • Grüne100
  • Linke60
  • FDP46
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD424 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne411 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne405 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke371 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke365 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP357 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke352 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP351 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP338 of 630
  • SPD + AfD + Grüne332 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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