Infratest dimap poll of 27 July 2018 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- ARD-Morgenmagazin
- Fieldwork period
- 24 to 25 Jul 2018
- Respondents
- 1,047
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CDU/CSU30.0%±0
- SPD18.0%±0
- AfD16.0%±0
- Grüne15.0%+1.0
- FDP8.0%±0
- Linke8.0%-1.0
- Others5.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 5 Jul 2018.
In this poll Infratest dimap has CDU/CSU ahead on 30.0%, followed by SPD on 18.0%. 1,047 people were surveyed from 24 to 25 Jul 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by ARD-Morgenmagazin.
Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 5 Jul 2018, Grüne gains 1.0 points, Linke loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has Grüne 2.5 points higher and Linke 2.2 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 27 Jul 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne +2.5average 12.5
- Linke -2.2average 10.2
- FDP -0.7average 8.7
- CDU/CSU -0.2average 30.2
- SPD -0.1average 18.1
- AfD ±0average 16.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU199
- SPD119
- AfD106
- Grüne100
- FDP53
- Linke53
- CDU/CSU + SPD318 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne405 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP358 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke358 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP352 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke352 of 630
- SPD + AfD + Grüne325 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.