Infratest dimap poll of 5 July 2018 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- ARD-Tagesthemen
- Fieldwork period
- 3 to 4 Jul 2018
- Respondents
- 1,505
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CDU/CSU30.0%-2.0
- SPD18.0%-1.0
- AfD16.0%+2.0
- Grüne14.0%+1.0
- Linke9.0%±0
- FDP8.0%±0
- Others5.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 27 Jun 2018.
In this poll Infratest dimap has CDU/CSU ahead on 30.0%, followed by SPD on 18.0%. 1,505 people were surveyed from 3 to 4 Jul 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by ARD-Tagesthemen.
Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 27 Jun 2018, CDU/CSU loses 2.0 points, AfD gains 2.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has Grüne 1.8 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 5 Jul 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne +1.8average 12.2
- FDP -1.3average 9.3
- AfD +1.1average 14.9
- Linke -1.1average 10.1
- CDU/CSU -1.0average 31.0
- SPD -0.4average 18.4
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU199
- SPD119
- AfD106
- Grüne93
- Linke60
- FDP53
- CDU/CSU + SPD318 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne398 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke365 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP358 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke352 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP345 of 630
- SPD + AfD + Grüne318 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.