Single poll

Infratest dimap poll of 27 June 2018 for the federal election

Commissioned by
ARD-Morgenmagazin
Fieldwork period
25 to 26 Jun 2018
Respondents
1,025
Method
Unbekannt
  • CDU/CSU32.0%+1.0
  • SPD19.0%+1.0
  • AfD14.0%-1.0
  • Grüne13.0%±0
  • Linke9.0%-1.0
  • FDP8.0%±0
  • Others5.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 14 Jun 2018.

In this poll Infratest dimap has CDU/CSU ahead on 32.0%, followed by SPD on 19.0%. 1,025 people were surveyed from 25 to 26 Jun 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by ARD-Morgenmagazin.

Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 14 Jun 2018, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 27 Jun 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Linke -1.2average 10.2
  • Grüne +1.0average 12.0
  • AfD -0.9average 14.9
  • FDP -0.9average 8.9
  • SPD +0.7average 18.3
  • CDU/CSU +0.4average 31.6
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 212 seatsSPD: 126 seatsAfD: 93 seatsGrüne: 86 seatsLinke: 60 seatsFDP: 53 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU212
  • SPD126
  • AfD93
  • Grüne86
  • Linke60
  • FDP53
  • CDU/CSU + SPD338 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne391 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke365 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP358 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke358 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP351 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP325 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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