Single poll

Infratest dimap poll of 14 June 2018 for the federal election

Commissioned by
ARD-Tagesthemen
Fieldwork period
11 to 13 Jun 2018
Respondents
1,506
Method
Unbekannt
  • CDU/CSU31.0%-2.0
  • SPD18.0%+1.0
  • AfD15.0%+1.0
  • Grüne13.0%±0
  • Linke10.0%±0
  • FDP8.0%±0
  • Others5.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 18 May 2018.

In this poll Infratest dimap has CDU/CSU ahead on 31.0%, followed by SPD on 18.0%. 1,506 people were surveyed from 11 to 13 Jun 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by ARD-Tagesthemen.

Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 18 May 2018, CDU/CSU loses 2.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has CDU/CSU 1.8 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 14 Jun 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU/CSU -1.8average 32.8
  • Grüne +1.2average 11.8
  • AfD +0.9average 14.1
  • FDP -0.7average 8.7
  • Linke -0.5average 10.5
  • SPD ±0average 18.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 206 seatsSPD: 119 seatsAfD: 100 seatsGrüne: 86 seatsLinke: 66 seatsFDP: 53 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU206
  • SPD119
  • AfD100
  • Grüne86
  • Linke66
  • FDP53
  • CDU/CSU + SPD325 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne392 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke372 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP359 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke358 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP345 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP325 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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