Single poll

Infratest dimap poll of 18 May 2018 for the federal election

Commissioned by
ARD-Morgenmagazin
Fieldwork period
14 to 16 May 2018
Respondents
1,009
Method
Unbekannt
  • CDU/CSU33.0%+1.0
  • SPD17.0%-1.0
  • AfD14.0%-1.0
  • Grüne13.0%±0
  • Linke10.0%+1.0
  • FDP8.0%±0
  • Others5.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 9 May 2018.

In this poll Infratest dimap has CDU/CSU ahead on 33.0%, followed by SPD on 17.0%. 1,009 people were surveyed from 14 to 16 May 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by ARD-Morgenmagazin.

Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 9 May 2018, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 18 May 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Grüne +1.3average 11.7
  • SPD -1.0average 18.0
  • FDP -0.8average 8.8
  • CDU/CSU +0.1average 32.9
  • Linke -0.1average 10.1
  • AfD ±0average 14.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 219 seatsSPD: 113 seatsAfD: 93 seatsGrüne: 86 seatsLinke: 66 seatsFDP: 53 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU219
  • SPD113
  • AfD93
  • Grüne86
  • Linke66
  • FDP53
  • CDU/CSU + SPD332 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne398 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke378 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke371 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP365 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP358 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP338 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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