Single poll

Infratest dimap poll of 9 May 2018 for the federal election

Commissioned by
ARD-Tagesthemen
Fieldwork period
7 to 8 May 2018
Respondents
1,507
Method
Unbekannt
  • CDU/CSU32.0%±0
  • SPD18.0%+1.0
  • AfD15.0%±0
  • Grüne13.0%+1.0
  • Linke9.0%-1.0
  • FDP8.0%-2.0
  • Others5.0%+1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 20 Apr 2018.

In this poll Infratest dimap has CDU/CSU ahead on 32.0%, followed by SPD on 18.0%. 1,507 people were surveyed from 7 to 8 May 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by ARD-Tagesthemen.

Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 20 Apr 2018, FDP loses 2.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 9 May 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Grüne +1.4average 11.6
  • Linke -1.2average 10.2
  • AfD +1.0average 14.0
  • FDP -0.9average 8.9
  • CDU/CSU -0.7average 32.7
  • SPD -0.2average 18.2
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 212 seatsSPD: 119 seatsAfD: 100 seatsGrüne: 86 seatsLinke: 60 seatsFDP: 53 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU212
  • SPD119
  • AfD100
  • Grüne86
  • Linke60
  • FDP53
  • CDU/CSU + SPD331 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne398 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke372 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP365 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke358 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP351 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP325 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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