Single poll

Infratest dimap poll of 20 April 2018 for the federal election

Commissioned by
ARD-Morgenmagazin
Fieldwork period
16 to 18 Apr 2018
Respondents
1,039
Method
Unbekannt
  • CDU/CSU32.0%-1.0
  • SPD17.0%-1.0
  • AfD15.0%+1.0
  • Grüne12.0%±0
  • FDP10.0%+1.0
  • Linke10.0%±0
  • Others4.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 5 Apr 2018.

In this poll Infratest dimap has CDU/CSU ahead on 32.0%, followed by SPD on 17.0%. 1,039 people were surveyed from 16 to 18 Apr 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by ARD-Morgenmagazin.

Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 5 Apr 2018, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 20 Apr 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • SPD -1.3average 18.3
  • AfD +1.1average 13.9
  • FDP +0.9average 9.1
  • CDU/CSU -0.6average 32.6
  • Grüne +0.5average 11.5
  • Linke -0.4average 10.4
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 210 seatsSPD: 111 seatsAfD: 98 seatsGrüne: 79 seatsFDP: 66 seatsLinke: 66 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU210
  • SPD111
  • AfD98
  • Grüne79
  • FDP66
  • Linke66
  • CDU/CSU + SPD321 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne387 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP374 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke374 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP355 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke355 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + Linke342 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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