Single poll

Infratest dimap poll of 5 April 2018 for the federal election

Commissioned by
ARD-Tagesthemen
Fieldwork period
3 to 4 Apr 2018
Respondents
1,503
Method
Unbekannt
  • CDU/CSU33.0%±0
  • SPD18.0%-1.0
  • AfD14.0%+1.0
  • Grüne12.0%±0
  • Linke10.0%±0
  • FDP9.0%±0
  • Others4.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 23 Mar 2018.

In this poll Infratest dimap has CDU/CSU ahead on 33.0%, followed by SPD on 18.0%. 1,503 people were surveyed from 3 to 4 Apr 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by ARD-Tagesthemen.

Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 23 Mar 2018, SPD loses 1.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 5 Apr 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Grüne +0.8average 11.2
  • Linke -0.7average 10.7
  • CDU/CSU +0.4average 32.6
  • FDP -0.3average 9.3
  • AfD +0.2average 13.8
  • SPD -0.1average 18.1
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 216 seatsSPD: 118 seatsAfD: 92 seatsGrüne: 79 seatsLinke: 66 seatsFDP: 59 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU216
  • SPD118
  • AfD92
  • Grüne79
  • Linke66
  • FDP59
  • CDU/CSU + SPD334 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne387 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke374 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP367 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke361 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP354 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP341 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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