Infratest dimap poll of 23 March 2018 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- ARD-Morgenmagazin
- Fieldwork period
- 20 to 21 Mar 2018
- Respondents
- 1,038
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CDU/CSU33.0%-1.0
- SPD19.0%+1.0
- AfD13.0%-2.0
- Grüne12.0%+1.0
- Linke10.0%+1.0
- FDP9.0%±0
- Others4.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 1 Mar 2018.
In this poll Infratest dimap has CDU/CSU ahead on 33.0%, followed by SPD on 19.0%. 1,038 people were surveyed from 20 to 21 Mar 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by ARD-Morgenmagazin.
Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 1 Mar 2018, AfD loses 2.0 points, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 23 Mar 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD +0.8average 18.2
- Linke -0.7average 10.7
- AfD -0.6average 13.6
- Grüne +0.6average 11.4
- CDU/CSU ±0average 33.0
- FDP ±0average 9.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU216
- SPD125
- AfD85
- Grüne79
- Linke66
- FDP59
- CDU/CSU + SPD341 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne380 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke367 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke361 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP360 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP354 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP341 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.