Single poll

Infratest dimap poll of 1 March 2018 for the federal election

Commissioned by
ARD-Tagesthemen
Fieldwork period
26 to 28 Feb 2018
Respondents
1,502
Method
Unbekannt
  • CDU/CSU34.0%±0
  • SPD18.0%+1.0
  • AfD15.0%+1.0
  • Grüne11.0%-1.0
  • FDP9.0%±0
  • Linke9.0%-1.0
  • Others4.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 23 Feb 2018.

In this poll Infratest dimap has CDU/CSU ahead on 34.0%, followed by SPD on 18.0%. 1,502 people were surveyed from 26 to 28 Feb 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by ARD-Tagesthemen.

Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 23 Feb 2018, SPD gains 1.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has Linke 1.5 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 1 Mar 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Linke -1.5average 10.5
  • CDU/CSU +1.1average 32.9
  • Grüne -1.1average 12.1
  • SPD +0.9average 17.1
  • AfD +0.9average 14.1
  • FDP ±0average 9.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 223 seatsSPD: 118 seatsAfD: 99 seatsGrüne: 72 seatsFDP: 59 seatsLinke: 59 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU223
  • SPD118
  • AfD99
  • Grüne72
  • FDP59
  • Linke59
  • CDU/CSU + SPD341 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD322 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP354 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke354 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + Linke341 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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