Single poll

Infratest dimap poll of 23 February 2018 for the federal election

Commissioned by
ARD-Morgenmagazin
Fieldwork period
20 to 21 Feb 2018
Respondents
1,052
Method
Unbekannt
  • CDU/CSU34.0%+1.0
  • SPD17.0%+1.0
  • AfD14.0%-1.0
  • Grüne12.0%-1.0
  • Linke10.0%-1.0
  • FDP9.0%±0
  • Others4.0%+1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 15 Feb 2018.

In this poll Infratest dimap has CDU/CSU ahead on 34.0%, followed by SPD on 17.0%. 1,052 people were surveyed from 20 to 21 Feb 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by ARD-Morgenmagazin.

Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 15 Feb 2018, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 23 Feb 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU/CSU +1.0average 33.0
  • SPD -0.8average 17.8
  • Grüne +0.1average 11.9
  • Linke -0.1average 10.1
  • FDP +0.1average 8.9
  • AfD ±0average 14.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 223 seatsSPD: 111 seatsAfD: 92 seatsGrüne: 79 seatsLinke: 66 seatsFDP: 59 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU223
  • SPD111
  • AfD92
  • Grüne79
  • Linke66
  • FDP59
  • CDU/CSU + SPD334 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne394 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke381 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP374 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke368 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP361 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP348 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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