Single poll

Infratest dimap poll of 15 February 2018 for the federal election

Commissioned by
ARD
Fieldwork period
13 to 15 Feb 2018
Respondents
1,001
Method
Unbekannt
  • CDU/CSU33.0%±0
  • SPD16.0%-2.0
  • AfD15.0%+1.0
  • Grüne13.0%+2.0
  • Linke11.0%±0
  • FDP9.0%-1.0
  • Others3.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 1 Feb 2018.

In this poll Infratest dimap has CDU/CSU ahead on 33.0%, followed by SPD on 16.0%. 1,001 people were surveyed from 13 to 15 Feb 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by ARD.

Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 1 Feb 2018, SPD loses 2.0 points, Grüne gains 2.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has SPD 2.5 points lower and AfD 1.6 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 15 Feb 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • SPD -2.5average 18.5
  • AfD +1.6average 13.4
  • Linke +1.0average 10.0
  • Grüne +0.8average 12.2
  • CDU/CSU +0.6average 32.4
  • FDP -0.1average 9.1
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 215 seatsSPD: 104 seatsAfD: 97 seatsGrüne: 84 seatsLinke: 71 seatsFDP: 59 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU215
  • SPD104
  • AfD97
  • Grüne84
  • Linke71
  • FDP59
  • CDU/CSU + SPD319 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne396 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke383 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP371 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke370 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP358 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP345 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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