Infratest dimap poll of 1 February 2018 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- ARD-Tagesthemen
- Fieldwork period
- 29 to 31 Jan 2018
- Respondents
- 1,502
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CDU/CSU33.0%±0
- SPD18.0%-1.0
- AfD14.0%+2.0
- Grüne11.0%±0
- Linke11.0%+1.0
- FDP10.0%±0
- Others3.0%-2.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 26 Jan 2018.
In this poll Infratest dimap has CDU/CSU ahead on 33.0%, followed by SPD on 18.0%. 1,502 people were surveyed from 29 to 31 Jan 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by ARD-Tagesthemen.
Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 26 Jan 2018, AfD gains 2.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points, Linke gains 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 1 Feb 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD -1.4average 19.4
- FDP +1.1average 8.9
- AfD +0.9average 13.1
- Linke +0.9average 10.1
- CDU/CSU ±0average 33.0
- Grüne ±0average 11.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU215
- SPD117
- AfD91
- Grüne71
- Linke71
- FDP65
- CDU/CSU + SPD332 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne377 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke377 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP371 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke357 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP351 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP351 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.