Single poll

Infratest dimap poll of 6 April 2023 for the federal election

Commissioned by
ARD-Tagesthemen
Fieldwork period
3 to 5 Apr 2023
Respondents
1,304
Method
Telefon & Online
  • CDU/CSU30.0%±0
  • SPD18.0%±0
  • Grüne17.0%+1.0
  • AfD15.0%±0
  • FDP7.0%±0
  • Linke4.0%-1.0
  • Others9.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 16 Mar 2023.

In this poll Infratest dimap has CDU/CSU ahead on 30.0%, followed by SPD on 18.0%. 1,304 people were surveyed from 3 to 5 Apr 2023, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by ARD-Tagesthemen.

Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 16 Mar 2023, Grüne gains 1.0 points, Linke loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has SPD 1.8 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 6 Apr 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • SPD -1.8average 19.8
  • CDU/CSU +1.1average 28.9
  • Linke -0.6average 4.6
  • Grüne +0.3average 16.7
  • FDP +0.2average 6.8
  • AfD -0.1average 15.1
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 217 seatsSPD: 130 seatsGrüne: 123 seatsAfD: 109 seatsFDP: 51 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU217
  • SPD130
  • Grüne123
  • AfD109
  • FDP51
  • CDU/CSU + SPD347 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne340 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD326 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + AfD362 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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