Single poll

Infratest dimap poll of 1 April 2026 for the federal election

Commissioned by
ARD-Tagesthemen
Fieldwork period
30 to 31 Mar 2026
Respondents
1,316
Method
Telefon & Online
  • CDU/CSU26.0%-2.0
  • AfD25.0%+2.0
  • Grüne14.0%+1.0
  • SPD12.0%-2.0
  • Linke10.0%+1.0
  • FDP3.0%
  • BSW3.0%-1.0
  • Others7.0%-2.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 5 Mar 2026.

In this poll Infratest dimap has CDU/CSU ahead on 26.0%, followed by AfD on 25.0%. 1,316 people were surveyed from 30 to 31 Mar 2026, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by ARD-Tagesthemen.

Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 5 Mar 2026, CDU/CSU loses 2.0 points, AfD gains 2.0 points, SPD loses 2.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has SPD 2.3 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 1 Apr 2026. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • SPD -2.3average 14.3
  • Grüne +0.8average 13.2
  • FDP -0.4average 3.4
  • AfD +0.2average 24.8
  • Linke -0.2average 10.2
  • BSW -0.1average 3.1
  • CDU/CSU ±0average 26.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 189 seatsAfD: 181 seatsGrüne: 101 seatsSPD: 87 seatsLinke: 72 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU189
  • AfD181
  • Grüne101
  • SPD87
  • Linke72
  • CDU/CSU + AfD370 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + SPD377 of 630
  • AfD + Grüne + SPD369 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke362 of 630
  • AfD + Grüne + Linke354 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke348 of 630
  • AfD + SPD + Linke340 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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