Infratest dimap poll of 5 March 2026 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- ARD-Tagesthemen
- Fieldwork period
- 2 to 4 Mar 2026
- Respondents
- 1,317
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU/CSU28.0%+2.0
- AfD23.0%-1.0
- SPD14.0%-1.0
- Grüne13.0%+1.0
- Linke9.0%-1.0
- BSW4.0%+1.0
- Others9.0%+2.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 5 Feb 2026.
In this poll Infratest dimap has CDU/CSU ahead on 28.0%, followed by AfD on 23.0%. 1,317 people were surveyed from 2 to 4 Mar 2026, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by ARD-Tagesthemen.
Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 5 Feb 2026, CDU/CSU gains 2.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has CDU/CSU 2.3 points higher and Linke 1.5 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 5 Mar 2026. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU +2.3average 25.7
- Linke -1.5average 10.5
- SPD -1.4average 15.4
- AfD -1.3average 24.3
- Grüne +0.9average 12.1
- BSW +0.7average 3.3
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU203
- AfD167
- SPD101
- Grüne94
- Linke65
- CDU/CSU + AfD370 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne398 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke369 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke362 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne362 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke333 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + Linke326 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.