Infratest dimap poll of 5 February 2026 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- ARD-Tagesthemen
- Fieldwork period
- 2 to 4 Feb 2026
- Respondents
- 1,319
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU/CSU26.0%-2.0
- AfD24.0%-1.0
- SPD15.0%+2.0
- Grüne12.0%±0
- Linke10.0%±0
- FDP3.0%±0
- BSW3.0%±0
- Others7.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 8 Jan 2026.
In this poll Infratest dimap has CDU/CSU ahead on 26.0%, followed by AfD on 24.0%. 1,319 people were surveyed from 2 to 4 Feb 2026, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by ARD-Tagesthemen.
Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 8 Jan 2026, CDU/CSU loses 2.0 points, SPD gains 2.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 5 Feb 2026. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD -1.4average 25.4
- CDU/CSU +0.7average 25.3
- FDP -0.6average 3.6
- BSW -0.3average 3.3
- Linke -0.2average 10.2
- SPD -0.1average 15.1
- Grüne -0.1average 12.1
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU188
- AfD174
- SPD109
- Grüne87
- Linke72
- CDU/CSU + AfD362 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne384 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne370 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke369 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke355 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke347 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + Linke333 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.