Infratest dimap poll of 8 January 2026 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- ARD-Tagesthemen
- Fieldwork period
- 5 to 7 Jan 2026
- Respondents
- 1,323
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU/CSU28.0%+1.0
- AfD25.0%±0
- SPD13.0%-1.0
- Grüne12.0%±0
- Linke10.0%±0
- FDP3.0%±0
- BSW3.0%-1.0
- Others6.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 4 Dec 2025.
In this poll Infratest dimap has CDU/CSU ahead on 28.0%, followed by AfD on 25.0%. 1,323 people were surveyed from 5 to 7 Jan 2026, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by ARD-Tagesthemen.
Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 4 Dec 2025, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points, BSW loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has CDU/CSU 2.9 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 8 Jan 2026. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU +2.9average 25.1
- SPD -1.3average 14.3
- BSW -0.8average 3.8
- AfD -0.7average 25.7
- FDP -0.6average 3.6
- Linke -0.3average 10.3
- Grüne -0.1average 12.1
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU200
- AfD179
- SPD93
- Grüne86
- Linke72
- CDU/CSU + AfD379 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne379 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke365 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke358 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne358 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke344 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + Linke337 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.