Infratest dimap poll of 4 December 2025 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- ARD-Tagesthemen
- Fieldwork period
- 1 to 3 Dec 2025
- Respondents
- 1,306
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU/CSU27.0%±0
- AfD25.0%-1.0
- SPD14.0%±0
- Grüne12.0%±0
- Linke10.0%±0
- BSW4.0%+1.0
- FDP3.0%±0
- Others5.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 6 Nov 2025.
In this poll Infratest dimap has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by AfD on 25.0%. 1,306 people were surveyed from 1 to 3 Dec 2025, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by ARD-Tagesthemen.
Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 6 Nov 2025, AfD loses 1.0 points, BSW gains 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 4 Dec 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU +1.4average 25.6
- AfD -0.8average 25.8
- SPD -0.6average 14.6
- FDP -0.5average 3.5
- BSW +0.4average 3.6
- Grüne +0.3average 11.7
- Linke -0.3average 10.3
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU193
- AfD179
- SPD100
- Grüne86
- Linke72
- CDU/CSU + AfD372 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne379 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke365 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne365 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke351 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke351 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + Linke337 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.