Infratest dimap poll of 2 May 2024 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- ARD-Tagesthemen
- Fieldwork period
- 29 to 30 Apr 2024
- Respondents
- 1,280
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU/CSU31.0%+1.0
- AfD18.0%±0
- SPD15.0%±0
- Grüne15.0%±0
- FDP5.0%+1.0
- BSW5.0%±0
- Others11.0%+4.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 4 Apr 2024.
In this poll Infratest dimap has CDU/CSU ahead on 31.0%, followed by AfD on 18.0%. 1,280 people were surveyed from 29 to 30 Apr 2024, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by ARD-Tagesthemen.
Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 4 Apr 2024, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, FDP gains 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 2 May 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU +1.2average 29.8
- SPD -1.1average 16.1
- Grüne +1.1average 13.9
- BSW -1.1average 6.1
- AfD +0.9average 17.1
- FDP +0.1average 4.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU220
- AfD128
- SPD106
- Grüne106
- FDP35
- BSW35
- CDU/CSU + AfD348 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD326 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne326 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne340 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.