Infratest dimap poll of 30 May 2024 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- ARD
- Fieldwork period
- 27 to 29 May 2024
- Respondents
- 1,479
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU/CSU31.0%±0
- AfD18.0%±0
- SPD15.0%±0
- Grüne14.0%-1.0
- BSW5.0%±0
- FDP4.0%-1.0
- Linke3.0%
- Freie Wähler3.0%
- Others7.0%-4.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 2 May 2024.
In this poll Infratest dimap has CDU/CSU ahead on 31.0%, followed by AfD on 18.0%. 1,479 people were surveyed from 27 to 29 May 2024, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by ARD.
Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 2 May 2024, Grüne loses 1.0 points, FDP loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has AfD 1.6 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 30 May 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +1.6average 16.4
- BSW -1.2average 6.2
- FDP -1.0average 5.0
- SPD -0.9average 15.9
- Grüne +0.6average 13.4
- Freie Wähler +0.5average 2.5
- CDU/CSU +0.3average 30.7
- Linke -0.3average 3.3
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU235
- AfD137
- SPD114
- Grüne106
- BSW38
- CDU/CSU + AfD372 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD349 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne341 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne357 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.