Infratest dimap poll of 4 April 2024 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- ARD-Tagesthemen
- Fieldwork period
- 2 to 3 Apr 2024
- Respondents
- 1,304
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU/CSU30.0%+1.0
- AfD18.0%-1.0
- SPD15.0%-1.0
- Grüne15.0%+1.0
- BSW5.0%-1.0
- FDP4.0%-1.0
- Linke3.0%±0
- Freie Wähler3.0%
- Others7.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 7 Mar 2024.
In this poll Infratest dimap has CDU/CSU ahead on 30.0%, followed by AfD on 18.0%. 1,304 people were surveyed from 2 to 3 Apr 2024, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by ARD-Tagesthemen.
Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 7 Mar 2024, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 4 Apr 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne +1.2average 13.8
- BSW -1.2average 6.2
- SPD -1.1average 16.1
- Freie Wähler +0.7average 2.3
- FDP -0.5average 4.5
- AfD +0.4average 17.6
- CDU/CSU -0.3average 30.3
- Linke -0.2average 3.2
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU228
- AfD136
- SPD114
- Grüne114
- BSW38
- CDU/CSU + AfD364 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD342 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne342 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne364 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.