Infratest dimap poll of 7 March 2024 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- ARD-Tagesthemen
- Fieldwork period
- 4 to 6 Mar 2024
- Respondents
- 1,288
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU/CSU29.0%-1.0
- AfD19.0%±0
- SPD16.0%±0
- Grüne14.0%±0
- BSW6.0%+1.0
- FDP5.0%+1.0
- Linke3.0%±0
- Others8.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 1 Feb 2024.
In this poll Infratest dimap has CDU/CSU ahead on 29.0%, followed by AfD on 19.0%. 1,288 people were surveyed from 4 to 6 Mar 2024, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by ARD-Tagesthemen.
Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 1 Feb 2024, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, BSW gains 1.0 points, FDP gains 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 7 Mar 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -1.2average 30.2
- SPD +0.9average 15.1
- Grüne +0.5average 13.5
- BSW -0.4average 6.4
- AfD +0.2average 18.8
- FDP +0.2average 4.8
- Linke -0.2average 3.2
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU205
- AfD135
- SPD113
- Grüne99
- BSW43
- FDP35
- CDU/CSU + AfD340 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD318 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + BSW347 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne347 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP339 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.