Infratest dimap poll of 1 February 2024 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- ARD-Tagesthemen
- Fieldwork period
- 29 to 31 Jan 2024
- Respondents
- 1,303
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU/CSU30.0%-1.0
- AfD19.0%-3.0
- SPD16.0%+2.0
- Grüne14.0%+1.0
- BSW5.0%
- FDP4.0%-1.0
- Linke3.0%-1.0
- Others9.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 4 Jan 2024.
In this poll Infratest dimap has CDU/CSU ahead on 30.0%, followed by AfD on 19.0%. 1,303 people were surveyed from 29 to 31 Jan 2024, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by ARD-Tagesthemen.
Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 4 Jan 2024, AfD loses 3.0 points, SPD gains 2.0 points, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has AfD 2.1 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 1 Feb 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD -2.1average 21.1
- SPD +1.2average 14.8
- FDP -1.2average 5.2
- BSW -0.8average 5.8
- Linke -0.8average 3.8
- Grüne +0.7average 13.3
- CDU/CSU -0.5average 30.5
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU225
- AfD143
- SPD120
- Grüne105
- BSW37
- CDU/CSU + AfD368 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD345 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne330 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne368 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.