Single poll

Infratest dimap poll of 1 December 2022 for the federal election

Commissioned by
ARD-Tagesthemen
Fieldwork period
28 to 30 Nov 2022
Respondents
1,318
Method
Telefon & Online
  • CDU/CSU30.0%+2.0
  • SPD18.0%±0
  • Grüne18.0%-1.0
  • AfD15.0%+1.0
  • FDP5.0%-2.0
  • Linke5.0%+1.0
  • Others9.0%-1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 11 Nov 2022.

In this poll Infratest dimap has CDU/CSU ahead on 30.0%, followed by SPD on 18.0%. 1,318 people were surveyed from 28 to 30 Nov 2022, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by ARD-Tagesthemen.

Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 11 Nov 2022, CDU/CSU gains 2.0 points, FDP loses 2.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has CDU/CSU 2.0 points higher and SPD 1.7 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 1 Dec 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU/CSU +2.0average 28.0
  • SPD -1.7average 19.7
  • FDP -1.5average 6.5
  • Grüne -1.4average 19.4
  • AfD +1.0average 14.0
  • Linke +0.1average 4.9
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 208 seatsSPD: 124 seatsGrüne: 124 seatsAfD: 104 seatsFDP: 35 seatsLinke: 35 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU208
  • SPD124
  • Grüne124
  • AfD104
  • FDP35
  • Linke35
  • CDU/CSU + SPD332 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne332 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + AfD352 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP347 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke347 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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