Single poll

Infratest dimap poll of 8 December 2022 for the federal election

Commissioned by
ARD-Morgenmagazin
Fieldwork period
6 to 7 Dec 2022
Respondents
1,259
Method
Telefon & Online
  • CDU/CSU29.0%-1.0
  • SPD18.0%±0
  • Grüne18.0%±0
  • AfD15.0%±0
  • FDP6.0%+1.0
  • Linke5.0%±0
  • Others9.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 1 Dec 2022.

In this poll Infratest dimap has CDU/CSU ahead on 29.0%, followed by SPD on 18.0%. 1,259 people were surveyed from 6 to 7 Dec 2022, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by ARD-Morgenmagazin.

Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 1 Dec 2022, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, FDP gains 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has SPD 1.5 points lower and Grüne 1.5 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 8 Dec 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • SPD -1.5average 19.5
  • Grüne -1.5average 19.5
  • AfD +1.2average 13.8
  • CDU/CSU +1.1average 27.9
  • FDP -0.8average 6.8
  • Linke ±0average 5.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 201 seatsSPD: 125 seatsGrüne: 124 seatsAfD: 104 seatsFDP: 41 seatsLinke: 35 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU201
  • SPD125
  • Grüne124
  • AfD104
  • FDP41
  • Linke35
  • CDU/CSU + SPD326 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne325 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + AfD353 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP346 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke340 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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