Single poll

Infratest dimap poll of 5 January 2023 for the federal election

Commissioned by
ARD-Tagesthemen
Fieldwork period
2 to 4 Jan 2023
Respondents
1,314
Method
Telefon & Online
  • CDU/CSU29.0%±0
  • Grüne19.0%+1.0
  • SPD18.0%±0
  • AfD15.0%±0
  • FDP6.0%±0
  • Linke5.0%±0
  • Others8.0%-1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 8 Dec 2022.

In this poll Infratest dimap has CDU/CSU ahead on 29.0%, followed by Grüne on 19.0%. 1,314 people were surveyed from 2 to 4 Jan 2023, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by ARD-Tagesthemen.

Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 8 Dec 2022, Grüne gains 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has SPD 1.9 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 5 Jan 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • SPD -1.9average 19.9
  • AfD +1.1average 13.9
  • FDP -1.0average 7.0
  • CDU/CSU +0.9average 28.1
  • Grüne +0.7average 18.3
  • Linke +0.2average 4.8
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 199 seatsGrüne: 130 seatsSPD: 123 seatsAfD: 103 seatsFDP: 41 seatsLinke: 34 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU199
  • Grüne130
  • SPD123
  • AfD103
  • FDP41
  • Linke34
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne329 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD322 of 630
  • Grüne + SPD + AfD356 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP343 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke336 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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