Infratest dimap poll of 19 January 2023 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- ARD-Morgenmagazin
- Fieldwork period
- 17 to 18 Jan 2023
- Respondents
- 1,211
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU/CSU29.0%±0
- SPD19.0%+1.0
- Grüne19.0%±0
- AfD14.0%-1.0
- FDP6.0%±0
- Linke4.0%-1.0
- Others9.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 5 Jan 2023.
In this poll Infratest dimap has CDU/CSU ahead on 29.0%, followed by SPD on 19.0%. 1,211 people were surveyed from 17 to 18 Jan 2023, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by ARD-Morgenmagazin.
Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 5 Jan 2023, SPD gains 1.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points, Linke loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 19 Jan 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU +1.3average 27.7
- FDP -1.2average 7.2
- Linke -0.9average 4.9
- SPD -0.7average 19.7
- Grüne +0.6average 18.4
- AfD -0.3average 14.3
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU210
- SPD138
- Grüne138
- AfD101
- FDP43
- CDU/CSU + SPD348 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne348 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD377 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP354 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + FDP319 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.