Infratest dimap poll of 2 February 2023 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- ARD-Tagesthemen
- Fieldwork period
- 30 Jan 2023 to 1 Feb 2023
- Respondents
- 1,328
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU/CSU27.0%-2.0
- SPD20.0%+1.0
- Grüne18.0%-1.0
- AfD15.0%+1.0
- FDP7.0%+1.0
- Linke4.0%±0
- Others9.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 19 Jan 2023.
In this poll Infratest dimap has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by SPD on 20.0%. 1,328 people were surveyed from 30 Jan 2023 to 1 Feb 2023, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by ARD-Tagesthemen.
Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 19 Jan 2023, CDU/CSU loses 2.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 2 Feb 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Linke -1.1average 5.1
- CDU/CSU -0.5average 27.5
- AfD +0.5average 14.5
- SPD -0.4average 20.4
- Grüne +0.2average 17.8
- FDP +0.1average 6.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU195
- SPD145
- Grüne130
- AfD109
- FDP51
- CDU/CSU + SPD340 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne325 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD384 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP355 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + FDP326 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.