Single poll

Infratest dimap poll of 17 February 2023 for the federal election

Commissioned by
ARD-Morgenmagazin
Fieldwork period
14 to 15 Feb 2023
Respondents
1,216
Method
Telefon & Online
  • CDU/CSU29.0%+2.0
  • SPD19.0%-1.0
  • Grüne17.0%-1.0
  • AfD15.0%±0
  • FDP6.0%-1.0
  • Linke5.0%+1.0
  • Others9.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 2 Feb 2023.

In this poll Infratest dimap has CDU/CSU ahead on 29.0%, followed by SPD on 19.0%. 1,216 people were surveyed from 14 to 15 Feb 2023, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by ARD-Morgenmagazin.

Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 2 Feb 2023, CDU/CSU gains 2.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has SPD 1.7 points lower and CDU/CSU 1.6 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 17 Feb 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • SPD -1.7average 20.7
  • CDU/CSU +1.6average 27.4
  • FDP -0.7average 6.7
  • Grüne -0.3average 17.3
  • AfD +0.2average 14.8
  • Linke +0.2average 4.8
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 201 seatsSPD: 131 seatsGrüne: 118 seatsAfD: 104 seatsFDP: 41 seatsLinke: 35 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU201
  • SPD131
  • Grüne118
  • AfD104
  • FDP41
  • Linke35
  • CDU/CSU + SPD332 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne319 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + AfD353 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP346 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke340 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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