Infratest dimap poll of 2 March 2023 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- ARD-Tagesthemen
- Fieldwork period
- 27 Feb 2023 to 1 Mar 2023
- Respondents
- 1,311
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU/CSU31.0%+2.0
- SPD18.0%-1.0
- Grüne17.0%±0
- AfD14.0%-1.0
- FDP6.0%±0
- Linke5.0%±0
- Others9.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 17 Feb 2023.
In this poll Infratest dimap has CDU/CSU ahead on 31.0%, followed by SPD on 18.0%. 1,311 people were surveyed from 27 Feb 2023 to 1 Mar 2023, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by ARD-Tagesthemen.
Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 17 Feb 2023, CDU/CSU gains 2.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has SPD 2.6 points lower and CDU/CSU 1.7 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 2 Mar 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD -2.6average 20.6
- CDU/CSU +1.7average 29.3
- AfD -0.8average 14.8
- Grüne +0.3average 16.7
- FDP -0.3average 6.3
- Linke +0.3average 4.7
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU214
- SPD125
- Grüne118
- AfD97
- FDP41
- Linke35
- CDU/CSU + SPD339 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne332 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP352 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke346 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD340 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.