Infratest dimap poll of 10 October 2024 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- ARD-Tagesthemen
- Fieldwork period
- 7 to 9 Oct 2024
- Respondents
- 1,321
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU/CSU31.0%-2.0
- AfD17.0%±0
- SPD16.0%+1.0
- Grüne13.0%+2.0
- BSW8.0%±0
- FDP3.0%-1.0
- Linke3.0%±0
- Freie Wähler3.0%
- Others6.0%-3.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 5 Sep 2024.
In this poll Infratest dimap has CDU/CSU ahead on 31.0%, followed by AfD on 17.0%. 1,321 people were surveyed from 7 to 9 Oct 2024, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by ARD-Tagesthemen.
Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 5 Sep 2024, CDU/CSU loses 2.0 points, Grüne gains 2.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has Grüne 2.1 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 10 Oct 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne +2.1average 10.9
- CDU/CSU -1.3average 32.3
- FDP -1.0average 4.0
- AfD -0.8average 17.8
- Freie Wähler +0.7average 2.3
- SPD +0.5average 15.5
- BSW +0.2average 7.8
- Linke +0.1average 2.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU230
- AfD126
- SPD119
- Grüne96
- BSW59
- CDU/CSU + AfD356 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD349 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne326 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne341 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.