Infratest dimap poll of 5 September 2024 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- ARD-Tagesthemen
- Fieldwork period
- 3 to 4 Sep 2024
- Respondents
- 1,309
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU/CSU33.0%+1.0
- AfD17.0%+1.0
- SPD15.0%±0
- Grüne11.0%-1.0
- BSW8.0%-1.0
- FDP4.0%-1.0
- Linke3.0%
- Others9.0%-2.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 8 Aug 2024.
In this poll Infratest dimap has CDU/CSU ahead on 33.0%, followed by AfD on 17.0%. 1,309 people were surveyed from 3 to 4 Sep 2024, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by ARD-Tagesthemen.
Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 8 Aug 2024, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 5 Sep 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU +1.3average 31.7
- Grüne -1.0average 12.0
- FDP -0.8average 4.8
- SPD +0.2average 14.8
- BSW +0.2average 7.8
- Linke +0.1average 2.9
- AfD ±0average 17.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU248
- AfD127
- SPD113
- Grüne82
- BSW60
- CDU/CSU + AfD375 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD361 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne330 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne322 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.