Infratest dimap poll of 8 August 2024 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- ARD-Tagesthemen
- Fieldwork period
- 5 to 7 Aug 2024
- Respondents
- 1,311
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU/CSU32.0%+1.0
- AfD16.0%-1.0
- SPD15.0%+1.0
- Grüne12.0%-1.0
- BSW9.0%+1.0
- FDP5.0%±0
- Others11.0%+2.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 4 Jul 2024.
In this poll Infratest dimap has CDU/CSU ahead on 32.0%, followed by AfD on 16.0%. 1,311 people were surveyed from 5 to 7 Aug 2024, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by ARD-Tagesthemen.
Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 4 Jul 2024, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 8 Aug 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU +1.2average 30.8
- BSW +1.1average 7.9
- AfD -1.0average 17.0
- SPD +0.2average 14.8
- FDP -0.1average 5.1
- Grüne ±0average 12.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU227
- AfD113
- SPD106
- Grüne85
- BSW64
- FDP35
- CDU/CSU + AfD340 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD333 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + BSW376 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP347 of 630
- CDU/CSU + BSW + FDP326 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.