Single poll

Infratest dimap poll of 6 August 2020 for the federal election

Commissioned by
ARD-Tagesthemen
Fieldwork period
3 to 5 Aug 2020
Respondents
1,511
Method
Telefonisch
  • CDU/CSU38.0%+1.0
  • Grüne18.0%-2.0
  • SPD15.0%+1.0
  • AfD11.0%±0
  • Linke7.0%±0
  • FDP6.0%+1.0
  • Others5.0%-1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 23 Jul 2020.

In this poll Infratest dimap has CDU/CSU ahead on 38.0%, followed by Grüne on 18.0%. 1,511 people were surveyed from 3 to 5 Aug 2020, method Telefonisch, commissioned by ARD-Tagesthemen.

Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 23 Jul 2020, Grüne loses 2.0 points, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 6 Aug 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • AfD +1.1average 9.9
  • CDU/CSU +0.9average 37.1
  • Linke -0.9average 7.9
  • Grüne -0.4average 18.4
  • SPD +0.3average 14.7
  • FDP +0.1average 5.9
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 252 seatsGrüne: 119 seatsSPD: 100 seatsAfD: 73 seatsLinke: 46 seatsFDP: 40 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU252
  • Grüne119
  • SPD100
  • AfD73
  • Linke46
  • FDP40
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne371 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD352 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD325 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP338 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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