Infratest dimap poll of 23 July 2020 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- ARD-Morgenmagazin
- Fieldwork period
- 21 to 22 Jul 2020
- Respondents
- 1,064
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU37.0%±0
- Grüne20.0%±0
- SPD14.0%-2.0
- AfD11.0%+1.0
- Linke7.0%±0
- FDP5.0%±0
- Others6.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 2 Jul 2020.
In this poll Infratest dimap has CDU/CSU ahead on 37.0%, followed by Grüne on 20.0%. 1,064 people were surveyed from 21 to 22 Jul 2020, method Telefonisch, commissioned by ARD-Morgenmagazin.
Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 2 Jul 2020, SPD loses 2.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has Grüne 2.1 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 23 Jul 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne +2.1average 17.9
- SPD -1.2average 15.2
- AfD +1.2average 9.8
- Linke -0.9average 7.9
- FDP -0.9average 5.9
- CDU/CSU -0.6average 37.6
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU248
- Grüne134
- SPD94
- AfD74
- Linke47
- FDP33
- CDU/CSU + Grüne382 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD342 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD322 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP328 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.