Single poll

Infratest dimap poll of 2 July 2020 for the federal election

Commissioned by
ARD-Tagesthemen
Fieldwork period
29 Jun 2020 to 1 Jul 2020
Respondents
1,503
Method
Telefonisch
  • CDU/CSU37.0%±0
  • Grüne20.0%±0
  • SPD16.0%±0
  • AfD10.0%±0
  • Linke7.0%±0
  • FDP5.0%±0
  • Others5.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 25 Jun 2020.

In this poll Infratest dimap has CDU/CSU ahead on 37.0%, followed by Grüne on 20.0%. 1,503 people were surveyed from 29 Jun 2020 to 1 Jul 2020, method Telefonisch, commissioned by ARD-Tagesthemen.

Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 25 Jun 2020, no party moves by more than one point.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has Grüne 2.3 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 2 Jul 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Grüne +2.3average 17.7
  • Linke -0.9average 7.9
  • CDU/CSU -0.8average 37.8
  • SPD +0.8average 15.2
  • FDP -0.7average 5.7
  • AfD -0.1average 10.1
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 246 seatsGrüne: 133 seatsSPD: 106 seatsAfD: 66 seatsLinke: 46 seatsFDP: 33 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU246
  • Grüne133
  • SPD106
  • AfD66
  • Linke46
  • FDP33
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne379 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD352 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke358 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP345 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP325 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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