Single poll

Infratest dimap poll of 25 June 2020 for the federal election

Commissioned by
ARD-Morgenmagazin
Fieldwork period
23 to 24 Jun 2020
Respondents
1,068
Method
Telefonisch
  • CDU/CSU37.0%-1.0
  • Grüne20.0%+1.0
  • SPD16.0%+1.0
  • AfD10.0%+1.0
  • Linke7.0%-1.0
  • FDP5.0%-1.0
  • Others5.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 4 Jun 2020.

In this poll Infratest dimap has CDU/CSU ahead on 37.0%, followed by Grüne on 20.0%. 1,068 people were surveyed from 23 to 24 Jun 2020, method Telefonisch, commissioned by ARD-Morgenmagazin.

Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 4 Jun 2020, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has Grüne 2.1 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 25 Jun 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Grüne +2.1average 17.9
  • SPD +1.0average 15.0
  • Linke -1.0average 8.0
  • CDU/CSU -0.9average 37.9
  • FDP -0.5average 5.5
  • AfD +0.1average 9.9
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 246 seatsGrüne: 133 seatsSPD: 106 seatsAfD: 66 seatsLinke: 46 seatsFDP: 33 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU246
  • Grüne133
  • SPD106
  • AfD66
  • Linke46
  • FDP33
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne379 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD352 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke358 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP345 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP325 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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