Infratest dimap poll of 5 December 2024 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- ARD-Tagesthemen
- Fieldwork period
- 2 to 4 Dec 2024
- Respondents
- 1,307
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU/CSU32.0%-1.0
- AfD18.0%-1.0
- SPD16.0%+2.0
- Grüne14.0%±0
- BSW5.0%-1.0
- FDP4.0%±0
- Linke3.0%±0
- Others8.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 21 Nov 2024.
In this poll Infratest dimap has CDU/CSU ahead on 32.0%, followed by AfD on 18.0%. 1,307 people were surveyed from 2 to 4 Dec 2024, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by ARD-Tagesthemen.
Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 21 Nov 2024, SPD gains 2.0 points, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has Grüne 2.0 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 5 Dec 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne +2.0average 12.0
- BSW -1.2average 6.2
- CDU/CSU -0.7average 32.7
- SPD +0.3average 15.7
- Linke -0.3average 3.3
- FDP +0.1average 3.9
- AfD ±0average 18.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU237
- AfD133
- SPD119
- Grüne104
- BSW37
- CDU/CSU + AfD370 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD356 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne341 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne356 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.