Infratest dimap poll of 21 November 2024 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- ARD-Tagesthemen
- Fieldwork period
- 18 to 20 Nov 2024
- Respondents
- 1,318
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU/CSU33.0%-1.0
- AfD19.0%+1.0
- SPD14.0%-2.0
- Grüne14.0%+2.0
- BSW6.0%±0
- FDP4.0%-1.0
- Linke3.0%
- Others7.0%-2.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 7 Nov 2024.
In this poll Infratest dimap has CDU/CSU ahead on 33.0%, followed by AfD on 19.0%. 1,318 people were surveyed from 18 to 20 Nov 2024, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by ARD-Tagesthemen.
Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 7 Nov 2024, SPD loses 2.0 points, Grüne gains 2.0 points, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has Grüne 2.8 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 21 Nov 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne +2.8average 11.2
- SPD -1.4average 15.4
- AfD +1.1average 17.9
- BSW -1.1average 7.1
- Linke -0.4average 3.4
- FDP -0.1average 4.1
- CDU/CSU ±0average 33.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU242
- AfD139
- SPD103
- Grüne102
- BSW44
- CDU/CSU + AfD381 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD345 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne344 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne344 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.