Infratest dimap poll of 2 October 2025 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- ARD-Tagesthemen
- Fieldwork period
- 29 Sep 2025 to 1 Oct 2025
- Respondents
- 1,306
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU/CSU26.0%-1.0
- AfD26.0%+1.0
- SPD14.0%±0
- Grüne12.0%+1.0
- Linke10.0%±0
- FDP3.0%±0
- BSW3.0%-1.0
- Others6.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 3 Sep 2025.
In this poll Infratest dimap has CDU/CSU ahead on 26.0%, followed by AfD on 26.0%. 1,306 people were surveyed from 29 Sep 2025 to 1 Oct 2025, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by ARD-Tagesthemen.
Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 3 Sep 2025, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 2 Oct 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD -0.9average 14.9
- BSW -0.9average 3.9
- Grüne +0.7average 11.3
- AfD +0.6average 25.4
- Linke -0.6average 10.6
- FDP -0.3average 3.3
- CDU/CSU +0.2average 25.8
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU186
- AfD186
- SPD100
- Grüne86
- Linke72
- CDU/CSU + AfD372 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne372 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne372 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke358 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke358 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke344 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + Linke344 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.