Single poll

Infratest dimap poll of 3 September 2025 for the federal election

Commissioned by
ARD-Tagesthemen
Fieldwork period
1 to 2 Sep 2025
Respondents
1,342
Method
Telefon & Online
  • CDU/CSU27.0%±0
  • AfD25.0%+1.0
  • SPD14.0%+1.0
  • Grüne11.0%-1.0
  • Linke10.0%±0
  • BSW4.0%+1.0
  • FDP3.0%-1.0
  • Others6.0%-1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 7 Aug 2025.

In this poll Infratest dimap has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by AfD on 25.0%. 1,342 people were surveyed from 1 to 2 Sep 2025, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by ARD-Tagesthemen.

Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 7 Aug 2025, AfD gains 1.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 3 Sep 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • SPD -0.8average 14.8
  • CDU/CSU +0.7average 26.3
  • Linke -0.5average 10.5
  • AfD +0.4average 24.6
  • Grüne -0.4average 11.4
  • FDP -0.4average 3.4
  • BSW ±0average 4.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 196 seatsAfD: 181 seatsSPD: 101 seatsGrüne: 80 seatsLinke: 72 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU196
  • AfD181
  • SPD101
  • Grüne80
  • Linke72
  • CDU/CSU + AfD377 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne377 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke369 of 630
  • AfD + SPD + Grüne362 of 630
  • AfD + SPD + Linke354 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke348 of 630
  • AfD + Grüne + Linke333 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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