Single poll

Infratest dimap poll of 2 June 2022 for the federal election

Commissioned by
ARD-Tagesthemen
Fieldwork period
30 May 2022 to 1 Jun 2022
Respondents
1,337
Method
Telefon & Online
  • CDU/CSU27.0%+1.0
  • SPD21.0%-1.0
  • Grüne21.0%+1.0
  • AfD11.0%±0
  • FDP8.0%±0
  • Linke4.0%±0
  • Others8.0%-1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 13 May 2022.

In this poll Infratest dimap has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by SPD on 21.0%. 1,337 people were surveyed from 30 May 2022 to 1 Jun 2022, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by ARD-Tagesthemen.

Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 13 May 2022, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has AfD 1.5 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 2 Jun 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • AfD +1.5average 9.5
  • CDU/CSU -0.5average 27.5
  • SPD -0.4average 21.4
  • Linke -0.4average 4.4
  • FDP -0.3average 8.3
  • Grüne -0.1average 21.1
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 194 seatsSPD: 150 seatsGrüne: 150 seatsAfD: 79 seatsFDP: 57 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU194
  • SPD150
  • Grüne150
  • AfD79
  • FDP57
  • CDU/CSU + SPD344 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne344 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + AfD379 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + FDP357 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP330 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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