Single poll

Infratest dimap poll of 3 September 2020 for the federal election

Commissioned by
ARD-Tagesthemen
Fieldwork period
31 Aug 2020 to 2 Sep 2020
Respondents
1,527
Method
Telefonisch
  • CDU/CSU36.0%-1.0
  • Grüne19.0%+2.0
  • SPD17.0%+1.0
  • AfD10.0%±0
  • Linke7.0%-1.0
  • FDP6.0%±0
  • Others5.0%-1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 20 Aug 2020.

In this poll Infratest dimap has CDU/CSU ahead on 36.0%, followed by Grüne on 19.0%. 1,527 people were surveyed from 31 Aug 2020 to 2 Sep 2020, method Telefonisch, commissioned by ARD-Tagesthemen.

Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 20 Aug 2020, Grüne gains 2.0 points, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 3 Sep 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • SPD +1.1average 15.9
  • CDU/CSU -0.9average 36.9
  • Grüne +0.5average 18.5
  • FDP +0.5average 5.5
  • Linke -0.4average 7.4
  • AfD ±0average 10.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 239 seatsGrüne: 126 seatsSPD: 113 seatsAfD: 66 seatsLinke: 46 seatsFDP: 40 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU239
  • Grüne126
  • SPD113
  • AfD66
  • Linke46
  • FDP40
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne365 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD352 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke351 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP345 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP325 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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