Single poll

Infratest dimap poll of 17 March 2022 for the federal election

Commissioned by
ARD-Morgenmagazin
Fieldwork period
15 to 16 Mar 2022
Respondents
1,254
Method
Telefon & Online
  • CDU/CSU26.0%±0
  • SPD25.0%±0
  • Grüne17.0%+1.0
  • AfD11.0%±0
  • FDP9.0%±0
  • Linke4.0%-1.0
  • Others8.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 3 Mar 2022.

In this poll Infratest dimap has CDU/CSU ahead on 26.0%, followed by SPD on 25.0%. 1,254 people were surveyed from 15 to 16 Mar 2022, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by ARD-Morgenmagazin.

Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 3 Mar 2022, Grüne gains 1.0 points, Linke loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has Linke 1.6 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 17 Mar 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Linke -1.6average 5.6
  • FDP -0.8average 9.8
  • Grüne +0.6average 16.4
  • AfD +0.6average 10.4
  • CDU/CSU +0.5average 25.5
  • SPD +0.2average 24.8
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 186 seatsSPD: 179 seatsGrüne: 122 seatsAfD: 79 seatsFDP: 64 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU186
  • SPD179
  • Grüne122
  • AfD79
  • FDP64
  • CDU/CSU + SPD365 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD387 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + AfD380 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP372 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + FDP365 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP329 of 630
  • SPD + AfD + FDP322 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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