INSA poll of 8 February 2019 for the Schleswig-Holstein state election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 28 Jan 2019 to 4 Feb 2019
- Respondents
- 1,002
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU30.0%-3.0
- Grüne22.0%+10.0
- SPD20.0%-9.0
- FDP9.0%-1.0
- AfD7.0%+2.0
- Linke5.0%±0
- SSW3.0%-1.0
- Freie Wähler1.0%
- Others3.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 29 Apr 2017.
In this poll INSA has CDU ahead on 30.0%, followed by Grüne on 22.0%. 1,002 people were surveyed from 28 Jan 2019 to 4 Feb 2019, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 29 Apr 2017, Grüne gains 10.0 points, SPD loses 9.0 points, CDU loses 3.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has CDU 4.0 points lower and Grüne 4.0 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 180-day average of the other pollsters on 8 Feb 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU -4.0average 34.0
- Grüne +4.0average 18.0
- SPD -2.0average 22.0
- FDP +1.0average 8.0
- AfD +1.0average 6.0
- Linke -1.0average 6.0
- SSW ±0average 3.0
Seat projection from this poll
69 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold; the SSW is exempt as the party of the Danish minority.
- CDU22
- Grüne16
- SPD14
- FDP6
- AfD5
- Linke4
- SSW2
- CDU + Grüne38 of 69
- CDU + SPD36 of 69
- Grüne + SPD + FDP36 of 69
- Grüne + SPD + AfD35 of 69
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.